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Abstract The United States CDC defines a county metric of COVID-19 Community Levels to inform public health measures. We find that the COVID-19 Community Levels vary frequently over time, which may not be optimal for decision making. Alternative metric formulations that do not compromise predictive ability are shown to reduce variability.more » « less
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Parpia, Alyssa S.; Martinez, Isabel; El-Sayed, Abdulrahman M.; Wells, Chad R.; Myers, Lindsey; Duncan, Jeffrey; Collins, Jim; Fitzpatrick, Meagan C.; Galvani, Alison P.; Pandey, Abhishek (, EClinicalMedicine)null (Ed.)
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